(Dan Tri) – The Ukrainian General Staff is worried when many large and elite main units of Moscow are mysteriously `missing`.
Russian mechanized forces were heavily damaged by Ukraine near Ugledar at the Donetsk front (Illustration: Telegram).
Where are Russia’s elite main units?
Since the Russia-Ukraine conflict broke out, a number of `trump card` units in Russia’s Western Military District seem to have `disappeared`.
Meanwhile, the 1st Guards Tank Division, 2nd Army, 6th Army and other units – all of Moscow’s largest and most elite units – did not appear on the front lines.
Ukrainian intelligence sources also provided even worse information: enemy engineering forces have begun clearing minefields in Kharkov province and Sumy province in northern Ukraine, bordering the Russian border.
Many sources believe that in the near future, Moscow may launch a large-scale offensive campaign, as early as May and as late as June, to gain the final decisive point.
Currently all enemy defense lines are actually satellite defense lines, surrounding these three major cities.
If they could concentrate an army group and conduct a large-scale mobile offensive strategy, they could quickly advance directly on the target.
However, Russian ground forces cannot participate in mobile warfare in the Donbass region and the northern Zaporizhia region, they can only use the `cabbage leaves` tactic, when taking advantage of firepower,
According to analysts, if Moscow wants to win quickly and achieve a decisive victory as soon as possible, it must return to the tactic of using large-scale mechanized forces to
For the Russian army, if it wants to control the Donbass region, it must defeat Kharkov.
But to gain the above two large territories, Moscow must control the Donbass region – currently half of the Donetsk region is still controlled by Kiev.
According to observers, it is currently very difficult for Moscow forces to develop from the direction of Donbass, because if they launch a major campaign attack here, it will mean very high losses and casualties.
Ukrainian soldiers fight on the Avdiivka front (Photo: AFP).
What Ukraine fears is about to happen
Now it seems that what Ukraine feared is coming to pass.
Only by winning Sumy and Kharkov will artillery, Ukrainian suicide UAVs and Russian far-right forces – supported by Ukraine – be unable to continue to conduct raids on Russian territories from the above area.
Now, the Russian Ministry of Defense can use many main force groups such as the 1st Guards Tank Army to conduct operations on the northern front, pushing the front line away from the border and creating a `buffer zone`.
Ukraine is a country with few geographical barriers to effective defense, as the terrain east of the Dnieper River is mainly flat plains and plateaus.
In a major campaign, Moscow will likely take Kiev as the final target, attack individually, quickly divide enemy forces and conduct a large-scale and far-reaching attack, forcing the Ukrainian government to surrender.
In case Moscow only wins Kharkov, Ukraine will be completely deindustrialized and become an agricultural country because this is Ukraine’s industrial core.
But are they that easy to fight?
In addition, the UK has just announced an additional 500 million pounds of military aid, including 160 Husky mine-resistant vehicles, 162 armored vehicles and 78 off-road vehicles, along with 1,600 anti-aircraft missiles, anti-tank missiles, and missiles.
Ukraine is negotiating with Europe and the US to receive 7 more battalions of used Patriot missiles, strengthening air defense capabilities on the front line, to prevent guided bomb attacks from Su fighter jets.
A source from Greek channel Pronews said Athens hopes that Washington will provide some financial compensation and ensure Türkiye does not attack Greece.
Pentagon sources said that the US is preparing to ship the first shipment of the $61 billion aid package, including artillery shells, anti-tank missiles, air defense systems, artillery, and M2 Bradley infantry fighting vehicles.
However, now the Russian army has taken the initiative on the battlefield and its ability to attack urban and fortified targets has greatly increased, after the Russian tactical air force
In addition, the Russian army’s attack tactics on Ukrainian battlefields located on the steppes have also been greatly improved.
The most difficult problem for the Russian army right now is that the Ukrainian army’s ability to deal with FPV drones is too poor.
Summer 2024 is predicted to be the opposite of summer 2023, when Russia will be the attacker and Ukraine will be on the defense.
Eliana 
Martin 
Caroline