Mr. Putin replaced General Shoigu, how could the war in Ukraine change?

Mr. Putin replaced General Shoigu, how could the war in Ukraine change? 0
Mr. Putin replaced General Shoigu, how could the war in Ukraine change? 0

(Dan Tri) – ISW believes that Russian President Vladimir Putin changed the leadership of the Ministry of Defense to strengthen preparations for a long war in Ukraine and possibly be ready for a future confrontation with NATO.

President Vladimir Putin with Defense Minister Shoigu and Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Army Gerasimov (Photo: Reuters).

Experts at the US-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said that on May 12, President Putin nominated Mr. Andrei Belousov to replace General Sergei Shoigu as Russian Defense Minister, transferring Mr. Shoigu to

Analysts say this high-level reshuffle after the presidential election clearly shows that Putin is making significant strides in mobilizing the economy as well as the military industrial base to support

Belousov’s nearly decade-long tenure as Economy Minister, and his recent involvement in managing numerous innovation projects in the military industry, added experts.

`Mr. Belousov has a reputation as an effective technocrat and inside sources say he also has a positive relationship with Mr. Putin,` the report said.

Experts added that General Shoigu replacing Mr. Patrushev as Secretary of the Security Council is consistent with the overall policy of the Kremlin boss.

In addition to transferring Mr. Patrushev, President Putin reappointed most of the heads of Russia’s main security agencies, showing that he still maintains a core of loyal security forces.

Mr. Putin replaced General Shoigu, how could the war in Ukraine change?

War map of Ukraine in Kharkov on May 12.

Notable comments in ISW’s May 12 report:

First, President Putin replaced General Sergei Shoigu with Mr. Andrei Belousov as Russian Defense Minister on May 12, moving Mr. Shoigu to the position of Secretary of the Security Council, taking over the position of Mr. Nikolai Patrushev.

These high-level reshuffles after the presidential election make it clear that Putin is making significant strides in mobilizing the economy and military industrial base to support the protracted war in Ukraine

Second, Belousov’s nearly decade-long tenure as Economy Minister and his recent involvement in managing numerous defense industry innovation projects and drone development

Third, the offensive efforts of Moscow’s forces to capture Volchansk (northeast of Kharkov) are largely the result of the West’s `policy of silence` prohibiting Ukrainian forces from using systems developed by the West.

Fourth, Kiev forces continued to carry out repeated attacks on Russia’s oil and military industrial infrastructure, causing some pro-Moscow military bloggers to complain about the apparent failure

Fifth, a number of German politicians from different political parties expressed support for using NATO interceptor missile systems stationed in member countries to shoot down enemy drones.

Friday, Moscow forces recently made confirmed advances near Liptsy and Volchansk in the northern Kharkiv region.

On Saturday, former Roscosmos head Dmitry Rogozin emphasized that the Russian military is still having difficulty repelling attacks by Ukrainian UAVs on the front.

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